6%. In October originally is the harvest time, but the vegetables price actually rises 31% compared to the same period, fruit rise in price 17.7%. Abundant transports the analysis, because the partial countries create the grain underproduction arid, the international farm price rise has had the influence to the domestic price. Hainan was the important vegetables supplies place, the Hainan flood disaster has had the influence to the vegetables price. In addition, raw material is specially the crude price rises largely, causes the production cost to increase directly. Especially after the third quarter, the overseas currency’s fluidity further pushed rose the price. Before this one quite optimistic view, after before revealing last year the price, low, created high curls upwards the tail factor achieves the peak value after this year six in July, the price downward, however was contrary to what expects. The development changes member Director Zhang Ping to acknowledge that at the beginning of the year the national formulation’s price goal is about 3%, originally estimate fourth quarter’s situation good somewhat, will possibly realize annual goal not any question, but the present looks like, this year’s CPI estimate can compared to 3% need high somewhat, the price situation to imagine slightly compared to us wants stern somewhat.
Communications Bank finance Research center Researcher Lu Zhiming analyzes, reduces gradually along with the disastrous weather, in the year bloating the pressure or saw goes against, latter two month CPI will have postpones. However, the international currency will be in flood in the future with the domestic fluid short-term tightens fast with difficulty, CPI will possibly have after end of this year the beginning of next year recedes once again upward. The cost rises the hand slap the currency ultra to send the hotbed Since the new century the domestic two prices have surged upward (in 2004 and in 2007) are hot closely with the economy related.
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